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Q2 2023 strategic insights 💡

The 6-month rally in equity markets is likely to lose momentum or even reverse if recessionary risks materialise later in 2023. Corporate earnings are likely to remain under pressure in an environment still hampered by low growth and persistent inflation. Lifted by a six month rally, current valuation s are not very attractive and do not fully reflect recession and financial instability risks. A defensive bias remains appropriate.

Macro

The Fed and the ECB are in no hurry

The US central bank's patience is fully justified, but the ECB's wait-and-see attitude is questionable.
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Macro

Renewed realism and healthy correction

Investors have reassessed the prospects for interest rate cuts amid sticky US “core” inflation.
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Corporate

H2 and Full-Year 2023 Financial Results

2023 was another successful year for ONE swiss bank SA, brimming with achievements and culminating in healthy financial results.
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Macro

The Fed’s pivot? Not before May 1st

Powell's comments and the strength of the US economy invite investors to be patient.
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Macro

The prevailing optimism is not irrational

Recent macroeconomic indicators validate hopes of a “soft landing” for the USA.
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Macro

No shock, no rapid rate cuts

Governor Christopher Waller's message was only partially received by investors.
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Macro

Should we expect the Fed to pivot in March?

The rapid and large rate cuts priced in by Fed funds rate futures appear unlikely.
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Macro

The 2024 bond vintage is overpriced

The bright prospects sold by some strategists are undermined by the surge at the end of 2023.
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Macro

A dovish Powell reinforces prevailing optimism

But his New York colleague John Williams and European central bankers appear less conciliatory.
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Corporate

Bye Bye 2023

As the year draws to a close, we would like to extend our warmest wishes to you and your loved ONEs.
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