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Q2 Macroeconomic Quarterly Update

Picture of François Christen

François Christen

Chief Economist

Ongoing Covid 19 outbreaks (still met with harsh restrictions in China), dreadful geopolitical tensions, continuous reassessment of recession risks make if difficult to navigate highly volatile financial markets. In these troubled circumstances, investors should avoid emotional reactions to abrupt market gyrations and focus on fundamentals and long term potential of financial assets.

Macro

The prospect of higher rates forever

Government bond yields stabilise, but a major monetary policy reversal remains unlikely.
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Corporate Social Responsibility

2023 SUSTAINABILITY REPORT

After our recent delisting, we remain sincerely committed to transparency and to continuing our efforts to progress on environmental, social and governance (ESG) matters.
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Macro

Powell capitulates under the weight of evidence

Persistent inflationary pressures call for patience from the Fed, but a rate hike remains unlikely.
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Macro

After three misses, the Fed has a problem

Evidence of persistent inflationary pressures in the US is pushing government bond yields higher.
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Corporate

2023 ANNUAL REPORT

ONE swiss bank SA publishes its 2023 Annual Report.
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Macro

The monetary hawk, an endangered species

Increasing central bank dovishness pushed US and European government bond yields lower.
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Macro

“Higher for longer”, the sequel

Recent events are likely to confirm the FOMC's wait-and-see stance, which is not without its dangers.
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Macro

Will two doves make a summer?

Friendly comments by Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde foreshadow first interest rate cuts in June.
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Macro

Wall Street peaks, but the economy falters

Recent, but not yet conclusive, indicators point to a deterioration in the US economy.
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Macro

The Fed and the ECB are in no hurry

The US central bank's patience is fully justified, but the ECB's wait-and-see attitude is questionable.
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